Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.187073 3.366628 3.557168 3.775512 4.020189 4.287588 4.604247
2025-08-10 2.848705 3.087774 3.354433 3.677609 4.063964 4.518276 5.104560
2025-08-17 2.578913 2.844290 3.150608 3.537072 4.022158 4.626853 5.466674
2025-08-24 2.402572 2.686720 3.023927 3.463898 4.040024 4.797428 5.926925
2025-08-31 2.279886 2.579616 2.943887 3.433481 4.099865 5.021512 6.498742
2025-09-07 2.168892 2.476648 2.857783 3.382483 4.120031 5.185938 7.011345
2025-09-14 2.069632 2.380750 2.771960 3.321285 4.114746 5.306344 7.475304
2025-09-21 1.977557 2.288066 2.683258 3.247094 4.079953 5.372073 7.854901
2025-09-28 1.919945 2.236155 2.644229 3.237365 4.137143 5.589815 8.582904
2025-10-05 1.917138 2.254759 2.699554 3.364540 4.416069 6.227388 10.446918
2025-10-12 1.885080 2.232252 2.696353 3.404459 4.559261 6.651433 12.064340
2025-10-19 1.856725 2.212921 2.695756 3.447107 4.710577 7.122395 14.150743
2025-10-26 1.823388 2.188878 2.692107 3.493027 4.889187 7.731161 17.491168
2025-11-02 1.764918 2.127981 2.632669 3.447238 4.900099 7.986540 19.971612
2025-11-09 1.693220 2.045952 2.538611 3.339353 4.784250 7.922804 20.984224
2025-11-16 1.640046 1.987993 2.477370 3.281077 4.756814 8.073544 23.551756
2025-11-23 1.599760 1.946615 2.438611 3.256975 4.792620 8.398724 28.255616
2025-11-30 1.556967 1.900013 2.389729 3.212238 4.781806 8.598865 33.038011
2025-12-07 1.514351 1.852188 2.336900 3.157282 4.744014 8.715514 37.970543
2025-12-14 1.471181 1.802232 2.278883 3.090000 4.673902 8.721958 42.115693
2025-12-21 1.444752 1.775615 2.255469 3.081263 4.726597 9.125437 57.593829
2025-12-28 1.448943 1.793464 2.301183 3.197153 5.066661 10.646051 251.731738
2026-01-04 1.434652 1.783509 2.302710 3.233469 5.234351 11.681278 NaN